Twilight of Doom

Can Phoenix Possibly Come Back From 0-3?

Filed under: Suns, Spurs, NBA Playoffs, Phoenix

the spurs shoveled clay all over the suns matrix night, with tony parker pouring in the most trouble-free 41 points i’ve ever seen as san antonio took a 3-0 lead. everyone assumes phoenix is done on sunday, or maybe in game 5 back in s.a. on tuesday. no one’s despite broaching the idea the suns can come all the way bet on a support at this point … and after two stinkers, that point-of-view looks winsome good.no nba pair has come rear from 0-3 to convince a 7-game series. you might have heard of the only mlb rig to do it. can the suns join the blackjack? statistically, the task’s not as impossible as you’d evaluate. based on pre-playoffs log5 projections i did for ballhype, the expectation of phoenix winning any retreat game against san antonio is 62%. in san antonio, phoenix has a 42% probability of a win. they call two of each. the likelihood of that, based on each team’s seasonal season behaviour and a standard home-court advantageously modifier: 7%. that’s not bad, right? if any team could catch bankroll b reverse from 0-3, a 55-win team with a (usually) numbing offense, an explosive set of actors, and two open and above-board floor leaders … that’s not a worthless choice. the spurs, incredible in their own rite, won’t lay down. but phoenix can does this, however unlikely it seems.permalink email this comments
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